KCLE Week 2 Outlook

A big upper-level low over the middle of country will play a crucial role in KCLE WX pattern this week. This upper low will slowly make its way across over the the Great Lakes region by Wednesday/Thursday. This will bring temperatures back down towards normal values unlike what were observed last week. Partly cloudy to cloudy conditions will dominate the sky coverage for much of the week. The best chance of measurable precip will likely to occur when the system passes over the forecast area on late Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Light isentropic upglide (overrunning) precip will occur before the the system passage.



~Ng

Friday, November 13 KCLE weather discussion

Calm and pleasant weather conditions persist for Friday and Saturday. Friday, light fog is possible in the morning and should clear by noon so long as surface heating is not obstructed by cirrus cover. Expect highs around 60, lows in the upper 30's, light winds and a few degrees warmer on Saturday. Mild conditions last until Sunday when the high will drop to the lower 50's due to a low pressure system that could bring light precipitation.

Thursday Forecast for KCLE

Nothing exciting to report... 

Persistence forecast should hold ... conditions will be much like wednesday.  

High pressure system is dominating the region...expect cooler morning temperatures due to the clear skies and NE flow... will be breezy, so temperatures may feel cooler due to windchill

Expect clear skies and sunny conditions throughout the day... 

Thursday's KCLE Discussion

Persistence is the forecast for Thursday and Thursday night. With high pressure center over the region and a high amplitude ridge supporting it. This will cause sky's to be clear and winds to be calm. High temperatures will be a degree or two warmer than the pervious day with thicknesses rising, but lows will be able to plummet with the clear skies and calm winds.

Day 1 Outlook for Cleveland

A fast moving front cold front located over the IL/IN border will pass through KCLE right before the start of the day 1 forecast period. The part of the front that will make its way across northern OH will lack the necessary punch to create any significant precip. A high pressure will build in from the north after the FROPA and will dominate the weather for the rest of the forecast week. A mobile shortwave trough will create enough lift to create partly cloudy skies for the middle of the week. High temperatures are expected to be above seasonal while the lows will hover around the norms for the rest of the week.


For Day 2 - 4 discussion, please check back at noon each day.


~Dr. Ng

Three-year November Wind Climo Histogram

This histogram is created by Dr. Wagner.....maybe climo does have its advantage in forecasting.

Thanks, Dr. Wagner!



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Cleveland isn't so bad...is it?

Here is the 411 on KCLE:

Identifier KCLE
Normal High 51-47°F
Normal Low 37-34°F
Latitude 41.405683°N
Longitude -81.851915°W
Normal Wind Speed 9 knots
Normal Precipitation 0.11-0.12"
Elevation 245 m

KCLE is about 10km away from Lake Erie.


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