A large upper-level ridge dominates over the eastern and central
portion of the United States. The jet stream should remain to north
over this region for the next few days at least. An amplified trough is
now observed over the Great Basin. It seems like this trough will have
a role in moving this big old ridge out of the eastern U.S. later on
this week sometime. In addition, a tropical easterly wave is bring
plenty of moisture over the Gulf Coast states. This tropical moisture
fetch should not make it over to the mid-Atlantic states until later on
this week.
The GFS model has the ridge moving off the coast
during the middle of the week and replacing it with a slight negatively
tilted trough. Temperatures should become more unseasonable towards the end of the week over KHSE. Winds will pick up as well. The best chance for precipitation accumulation seems to be Thursday evening and Friday morning. I'd give it a 33% chance of occurring. Will revise the WX discussion when it is deemed necessary or if time permits.
~Ng
23 September 2007
21 September 2007
This Time It Counts!
Greeting Fellow WxChallengers!
Welcome to another year of WxChallenge forecasting but to take a page from the MLB all-star game slogan: This Time It Counts! Last year, we joined during the middle of the school year and was not eligible for the season-ending tournament and overall best forecasting team. This year we are eligible for both categories. If you are interested in more information, it can be obtained at http://wxchallenge.com/info/rules.php.
I have not "dissected" the current pattern but I will write a brief discussion on Sunday. Remember forecast is due at 6:00 PM local time from Monday through Thursday. You can make a forecast for up to 3 days ahead. If you have any more question, please feel free to contact me at sng1@mscd.edu.
Hydrostatically Yours,
Doc Ng
P.S. Here are additional Info that could be beneficial to you.
Identifier KHSE
Normal High 80 - 76°F
Normal Low 67 - 63 °F
Normal Wind Speed 8.7 knots
Normal Precipitation 0.18"
Elevation 5.2 m
View Larger Map
Welcome to another year of WxChallenge forecasting but to take a page from the MLB all-star game slogan: This Time It Counts! Last year, we joined during the middle of the school year and was not eligible for the season-ending tournament and overall best forecasting team. This year we are eligible for both categories. If you are interested in more information, it can be obtained at http://wxchallenge.com/info/rules.php.
I have not "dissected" the current pattern but I will write a brief discussion on Sunday. Remember forecast is due at 6:00 PM local time from Monday through Thursday. You can make a forecast for up to 3 days ahead. If you have any more question, please feel free to contact me at sng1@mscd.edu.
Hydrostatically Yours,
Doc Ng
P.S. Here are additional Info that could be beneficial to you.
Identifier KHSE
Normal High 80 - 76°F
Normal Low 67 - 63 °F
Normal Wind Speed 8.7 knots
Normal Precipitation 0.18"
Elevation 5.2 m
View Larger Map
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