20 April 2007

Looks like the finals are set

Well, after the first three days of the semifinals, Dr. Ng is ahead of me by 4.7 points, and Katie is ahead of Dr. Wagner by 3.2 points. Looking at the distribution for what we all put in for our forecasts tomorrow, the most points that I could possibly make up on Dr. Ng is 3, and the most points Dr. Wagner could possibly make up on Katie is 2. Therefore, the finals will be between Katie and Dr. Ng. Best of luck to Katie in the finals! OK, good luck to Dr. Ng too! This weather challenge has been a lot of fun this year, and if you didn't get to do it this time, I really encourage you to get involved with it next semester.

15 April 2007

Semis are set!

It looks like Wagner/Candall in the top half of the bracket and Ng/Kennedy in the bottom half.

Click here to see the the round 2 results.

12 April 2007

Round 1 Results

Click here to see the brackets

frcstr day 1 day 2 total
rgw459 22.9 27.8 50.7
bf1426 20.6 32.8 53.4

q15k12 23.3 22.1 45.4
webwan 23.3 21.3 44.6

kcrand 10.1 27.8 37.9
wxedvo 18.6 37.8 56.4

dannwx 25.9 23.6 49.5
ganjou 18.6 25.3 43.9

foosj1 23.4 23.3 46.7
miller 14.1 30.8 44.9

ngisok 14.4 21.2 35.6
weazel 27.7 49.8 77.5

snake1 42.6 27.3 69.9
jms9wx 42.6 23.3 65.9

albie1 13.2 22.2 35.4
strmsp 17.5 39.8 57.3

07 April 2007

MSCD Tournament Seeds and Matchups

Rossby Bracket
1) rgw459 v. 16) bf1426
8) q15k12 v. 9) webwan

Palmen Bracket
2) albie1 v. 15) strmsp
7) snake1 v. 10) jms9wx

Petterssen Bracket
3) ngisok v. 14) weazel
6) foosj1 v. 11) miller

Moore Bracket
4) dannwx v. 13) ganjou
5) kcrand v. 12) wxedvo

http://clem.mscd.edu/~sng1/WxChallenge/Tournament_2007.htm

RAP results

1) Wagner
2) Ng
3) Stauffer
4) Cianca
5) Crandall


Cat1: Wagner
Cat3: Stauffer
Cat4: Gobsin

Dr. William Gray

Forecaster Blasts Gore on Global Warming

By CAIN BURDEAU, Associated Press Writer

NEW ORLEANS - A top hurricane forecaster called Al Gore "a gross alarmist" Friday for making an Oscar-winning documentary about global warming.

"He's one of these guys that preaches the end of the world type of things. I think he's doing a great disservice and he doesn't know what he's talking about," Dr. William Gray said in an interview with The Associated Press at the National Hurricane Conference in New Orleans, where he delivered the closing speech.

A spokeswoman said Gore was on a flight from Washington, D.C., to Nashville Friday; he did not immediately respond to Gray's comments.

Gray, an emeritus professor at the atmospheric science department at Colorado State University, has long railed against the theory that heat-trapping gases generated by human activity are causing the world to warm.

Over the past 24 years, Gray, 77, has become known as America's most reliable hurricane forecaster; recently, his mentee, Philip Klotzbach, has begun doing the bulk of the forecasting work.

Gray's statements came the same day the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change approved a report that concludes the world will face dire consequences to food and water supplies, along with increased flooding and other dramatic weather events, unless nations adapt to climate change.

Rather than global warming, Gray believes a recent uptick in strong hurricanes is part of a multi-decade trend of alternating busy and slow periods related to ocean circulation patterns. Contrary to mainstream thinking, Gray believes ocean temperatures are going to drop in the next five to 10 years.

Gore's documentary, "An Inconvenient Truth," has helped fuel media attention on global warming.

Kerry Emanuel, an MIT professor who had feuded with Gray over global warming, said Gray has wrongly "dug (his) heels in" even though there is ample evidence that the world is getting hotter.