KERI forecast for Friday 12/9/2011

On Friday, expect daytime temperatures to hover in the mid 30's with a good chance of snow for most of the day. Total accumulations should be between 2-4 inches. Winds will generally be out of the west at 10-15 knots. Low temperatures will be in the mid 20's.

KERI Thursday, December 08, 2011

High pressure dominates the area for a short while longer before a series of features come together during the day on Thursday.  There is still some slight differences between the models, but the overall picture suggests a decent Lake Effect snowstorm to form on Thursday afternoon/evening.  The combination of a strong cold front, combined with a jet max overhead, and a vorticity field to the south all suggest the creation of a significant snow event for the region.

The exact position of where the snow will fall is still somewhat questionable, depending on where all of the ingredients come together, but for now,  a 30% chance of snow is sufficient for the late afternoon, with increasing chances as the evening progresses.  There is some suggestion that the bulk of the snow will be to the south and east of the Erie area.

For Wednesday night/Thursday morning, 20% snow . Lows in the upper 20's, West wind around 10 kts.  Thursday: Highs in the mid 30's with increasing chances of snow as the day progresses along with increasing winds to around 15-20 kts.

KERI 6 DEC 2011

Expect some precip in the morning with a small chance of snow in the evening. A high pressure will remain in the area throughout the day with high winds off the lakes. Temps will be around 40 degrees with the night time temp in the low 30's.

KERI forecast for 12/1/2011

The forecast for Thursday looks to be much calmer as the system that brought rain and snow to the area the past two days exits the region. With this, expect highs to be in the lower to mid 40's with mostly sunny skies along with some breezy conditions during the afternoon and evening. The next shot at precipitation comes Friday with a slight chance of snow.

KERI 24 NOV 2011

High pressure will remain in the area throughout the day. High temps will continue to near 60 with lows in the mid-40's. The pressure gradient will remain fairly tight giving winds near 20 knots and gusts in the mid-20's.

PAJN forecast for 11/18/2011

Conditions in the forecast area will continue to be gusty, with highs in the low 20's and low temperatures hovering in the middle to low teens. The surface low pressure system will move out of the region, therefore no precipitation is expected.

17 NOV 2011 PAJN

The pressure will continue to deepen and then move south along the coast. Precip in the form of snow will occur in the mountains and along the coast. Juneau may only get an inch or two. Winds will be high and from the north, north-northeast bringing temperatures to mid-20's and a low in the teens over night. Gusty conditions in the afternoon and evening.

11/16/2011 Forecast for PAJN

Interesting weather for tomorrow! A strong low pressure system will move southeastward across the Gulf of Alaska tonight into early tomorrow morning bringing with it snow, rain and gusty winds to the area. Expect the precipitation to increase across the area this evening. While it may mix with rain at first it should change over to all snow. The National Weather Service has issued a winter storm warning from 6pm tonight until 9am tomorrow morning. Snow amounts will most likely be in the 6-10 inch range. Winds will increase to between 20-30 knots and continue throughout much of the day tomorrow. Look for temperatures to hover in the upper 20's to low 30's for the day. Snow should taper off by the afternoon, with only a slight chance tomorrow night.

Forecast Discussion for Tuesday, November 15, 2011 (PAJN)

A trough will be draped across the Alaska panhandle, as indicated by the current surface (12Z) analysis chart.  This weak trough will be followed by a stronger system moving into the area early Wednesday.  In the meantime, we can expect the snow showers to continue with accumulations of less than 2" for the period.  We can also expect southeasterly surface flow throughout the period as well.

Highs on Tuesday around freezing with winds around 10 kts.  For Thursday night, we can expect lows to be in the mid-20's with increasing SE winds to around 15-20 kts. 

Weekly Outlook for Juneau, AK

Juneau is under the influence of a trough of low pressure and should expect snow today, as the day goes on the trough will progress on as a high pressure system moves into the region. Later in the week a system of lows will be moving in bringing in a rain/snow mix. Expect temperatures in the 20s-30s this week, winds to be around 20 mph at times, and precipitation is to be expected both as rain and snow.

Juneau, Nov. 11

The already narrow extremes in temperature will be kept even more so as one low passes Thursday evening and another on Friday. This will cause precipitation, (Mostly rain, but snow is possible.) Over both nights but not much during Friday during the day.

Juneau, AK forecast for November 10, 2011

Expect high temperatures to be in the upper 30's to lower 40's, with low temperatures in the low 30's. Surface winds will be between 10 and 15 knots, with possible gusts to 20 knots. There is a chance of precipitation throughout the day.

Forecast for Nov. 8th (PAJN)

Expect high temperatures to hover in the mid 30's for the day with a good chance of a rain/snow mix throughout the day. It will be breezy at times with winds between 10-15 knots.

Weekly Outlook for Juneau, AK (PAJN); Nov. 7 thru Nov. 11

There are two features of interest for the forecast this week: 

1)  On Tuesday, an upper trough will push its way across the eastern Gulf of Alaska, ushering in a weak surface low.  This feature will have a cold front associated with it, and will cool the temperatures to allow the rain showers to become snow across the area.  This system will quickly push out before the larger of these two systems moves in.

2)  Beginning on Wednesday, a deep low pressure system coming from Russia will make its way across the gulf of Alaska, deepening more in the process.  Although there is some disagreement between the models as to the exact track of this system, there is enough agreement in the timing for the FROPA associated with this second system to affect the area on Thursday.  Again, there are some big disagreements in the models, so this feature will be one to watch.

Overall, the classic Maritime climate pattern will rule the area with seasonal temperatures along with chances for rain every day with the exception for Tuesday, when the rain will mix with snow.  Highs will be in the upper 30's with lows in the mid 20's.  Winds will vary, depending on the location of the passing ETC's but will average around 10-15 MPH for any given day, again subject to the location and track of the passing ETC's.

Friday's Forecast for KDAY

On Friday, Dayton will be mostly sunny by day and mostly clear by night. Temperatures are expected to reach a high of mid-50s. Winds are expected to be around 9 knots by day, and around 4 kts in the evening and will be shifting from a Northeasterly direction to a more easterly direction. No precipitation is expected on Friday.

KDAY Forecast for Thursday, November 3 2011

The high of Wednesday will move East as a system moves over the midwest. This system will likely reach Dayton creating a moderate chance of precipitation through the afternoon and evening. After temperatures fall overnight to the low 40s they will only recover to the 50s. Winds will also be moderate.

KDAY forecast for Wednesday, November 3, 2011.

Dayton is currently under a high pressure pattern, bringing calmer weather and seasonal temperatures to the forecast area. Expect highs to be in the upper 50's to low 60's, with low temperatures hovering around the low 40's. No precipitation is expected, and surface winds should remain calm between 5-10 knots.

KDAY 01NOV2011

For tomorrow, the high temperature will reach mid- to high-50's and the low diving into the 30's. Wind will be light and from the south. Surface pressure will remain high, so no chance of precipitation.

KDAY Weekly outlook

For today, high temperatures will top out around 50 degrees with a chance of storms later today as a trough passes through the area. Tonight, temperatures will dip into the mid 30's with calm winds from the south. Tuesday and Wednesday will much milder days as high pressure returns. Expect highs to be in the upper 50's to low 60's and morning lows in the lower 40's. Winds should remain fairly calm over the next few days as well. For Thursday through Sunday models show a couple disturbances moving through that will enhance precipitation chances, but temperatures will remain about the same.

(KDAY) Forecast for Friday, October 27, 2011

High pressure will begin to reclaim the area in wake of the cold front passage of yesterday.  As this occurs, we will see clearing skies.  The big question is how much clearing will we see, as it will have a direct impact on the minimum temperatures.   At this point, I will forecast for a 70% clearing, resulting in lows just above freezing.  The residual ground moisture may result in frost in some areas, depending on temperatures. 

Lows for Friday AM: 33-36  with calm winds.  For Friday, sunny skies will reign once again, and winds will be weak (~ 5MPH), Highs in the lower 50's. 

Dayton, OH Forecast for Thursday

Tomorrow Dayton will experience a drop in pressure and temperature. The wind will be changing from the Southwest to a more Northerly direction and clouds should be expected. It will also be a cooler day tomorrow than it was today with a high temperature of 50 degrees.

Temperature: Low 30s to 50

Wind Gusts: between 14-16 kts

Precip: Likely light showers.

CSI Induced Snowband?

So last night, there was a nice snowband that developed between Boulder and Ft. Collins. In our AMS meeting on Tuesday afternoon, we had discussed the possibility of CSI playing a role in enhancing the snow amount in localized areas. Is this CSI at working leaving Ft. Collins with at least 15 inches of snow as of this morning? You be the judge!!

KDAY Forecast for Wednesday

The high pressure will pass by Wednesday. A low pressure system will move north of dayton but will dominate the weather there. It will be overcast throughout the day keeping the temperatures from reaching extremes. Highs in the low 60s lows in the high 40s with precipitation in the evening.

KDAY Outlook

There is a high pressure that will remain over Ohio until Wednesday. Liquid precipitation will fall throughout Wednesday and Thursday. Pressure will remain fairly high, although. Temperatures will be warmer in the beginning of the week and cooler in the late week days.

KDAY Forecast for 10/25/2011

A high pressure system is set to move in Tuesday, bringing high temperatures to the mid to high 60's, with low temperatures in the low 40's. Sustained surface winds are expected to be between 10-15 knots with a very slight chance of precipitation late Tuesday evening.

Friday, October 20 forecast for KRIW

On Friday, expect similar weather to Thursday. The area is under the influence of a high pressure system that will continue to stay in place for the next several days. So, for Friday, high temperatures should top out around 60 degress with a low in the mid to upper 30's. Skies should be mostly clear and winds should be out of the west-northwest at 5-10 knots.

KRIW Forecast for Thursday, October 20, 2011

Ridging continues to try to settle into the area while a weak disturbance moves its way across.  This will be very insignificant, but will cause some increase to the winds in comparison to the past few days.  Aside from this, the area will enjoy highs in the upper 50's and lows around freezing with winds 3-5mph increasing to around 10mph throughout the day.

Weds Forecast for WY

Riverton, WY will continue to be under the influence of high pressure tomorrow. This means WY will be experiencing weather associated with high pressure: sunny skies, no precipitation, and relatively warmer temperatures. Temperatures should reach the mid-50s tomorrow.

KRIW Forecast for Tuesday October 18, 2011

The localized trough over the area with the possibility of rain will pass by this evening leaving Riverton under high conditions Tuesday.  The high over the Pacific Northwest will begin to move into the area.  Skies will be mostly clear and temperatures will be a few degrees lower than normal.  Winds will remain calm.

Weekly Outlook for KRIW ending 10/22/2011

A shortwave disturbance is moving through the area today, bringing cooler temperatures and a slight chance of rain. A ridge system will move in on Tuesday evening, bringing warmer temperatures in the lower 60's and dryer weather later in the week. Winds look to be calm throughout most of the week, although gusty conditions may exist on late Wednesday evening.

KRIW 14 OCT 2011

Expect light wind from the north west. A high pressure will continue to sit over the region keeping the skies clear. High temps to mid-60s and lows in the 40s.

Forecast for Oct. 13, 2011 (KRIW)

For Thursday, expect high pressure to dominate the area. Temperatures will top out around the lower 60's with low temperatures dipping into the upper 30's. Look for mostly clear skies throughtout the day along with breezy conditions, especially in the afternoon. Winds should be west-southwest most of the day with speeds in the afternoon between 10-15 knots.

(KRIW) Forecast for Wednesday, October 12, 2011

A disturbance will move its way across the area on Tuesday afternoon, ushering in increased cloudiness and an increased chance of precipitation along with breezy conditions.  The precipitation chances should dwindle by Wednesday afternoon, as skies clear, and the winds subside.  Lows in the mid-30's, Highs in the upper 50's.  Gusty west winds overnight, around 20 MPH, with gusts near 30 MPH, subsiding during the day on Wednesday, becoming NW at around 10 MPH.

Weekly outlook October 10-16 KRIW

High conditions over the Rockies and western Wyoming likely persisting nearly into the weekend, leaving chances of rain in the early and later week.  Dewpoints expected in the low 30s keeping the nightly in the mid to low 30s.  With little to no cloud cover highs will be slightly above the climatological normals of the high 50s.  The Riverton Airport is on a flat high spot in the terrain, a good spot for winds.

Tuesday's Weather

Riverton, WY will be under the influence of NW flow and a ridge on Tuesday. Showers should be expected. Temperatures should be in the 50s and it could get a bit windy overnight.

KMIA Forecast for Friday, October 7, 2011

High temperatures will remain in the mid to upper 80's, with lows in the upper 70's. Expect east to north east surface winds between 15-20 knots, with possible gusts up to 25 knots. The high pressure system looks to remain stationary, and the easterly wind component will bring ocean moisture to the forecast area, increasing the chance of thunderstorms tomorrow.

KMIA

For Thursday, the temp will remain in the mid-80's and a low temp around mid-70's. There are small chances for rain and pop-up T-storms may occur in the area. Winds will vary throughout the day and will have mild gusts. Pressure will remain fairly high.

Forecast for Wednesday October, 2011

For Wednesday, look for high temperatures to remain in the middle to upper 80's with lows in the mid 70's. A stationary front off the souther coast of Florida will create breezy conditions throughout much of the day on Wednesday. Expect sustained winds between 10-15 knots with gust up to 20 knots. There is a slight chance for isolated showers later in the day, but the area should remain dry.

KMIA Tuesday, October 04, 2011

Seasonal conditions will persist, with just enough moisture in place for some isolated showers/t-storms to form, courtesy of daytime heating.  However, a ridge of high pressure centered over the TN/MS/AK area will continue to amplify, resulting in a tighter pressure gradient. This will bring stronger breezes than what we've seen over the past week.  Temperatures will continue to be seasonal with  highs in the mid-upper 80's and lows in the upper 70's with a breezy NE wind around 10-15 kts.  Chance of precipitation ~ 20%.

Weekly Outlook for KMIA

Florida is under the influence of low pressure, pseudo-stationary cold front, and a high pressure in TN. These things will keep FL dry. As the week goes on the high in TN will strengthen which will keep this week's chances of precipitation relatively low. The enhanced pressure gradient in the Miami-area will make it relatively breezy this week. Expect temperatures between 85-76, wind gusts to reach 18 knots, and very little chance of precipitation.

Friday, September 30, 2011 MIA

The extra-tropical cyclone that has been dominating the weather for the last week is coming to the end of its life cycle.  An arm of this system passed over the South and Miami earlier in the week.  For tomorrow this means that things will clear up.  Scattered clouds, with highs in the high 80's.  Overnight the dewpoint will keep the temperature from falling below the high to mid 70's.  Afternoon convective thunderstorms are a possibility but unlikely for Friday.

KMIA forecast for Thursday, 9/28/2011

High temperatures in Miami on Thursday will hover in the upper 80's with partly cloudy conditions. Relative humidity numbers remain in the 60-70% range, increasing the heat index to the mid 90's. There will be a slight chance of showers throughout the day. Low temperatures will be in the upper 70's and north east to easterly winds around 8 knots are expected.

Outlook for KMIA, September 26-30

A trough associated with a slow moving, closed-off  low pressure system currently over the Ohio area is situated along the western Florida coast this morning,  allowing for a continued stream of moisture to be advected into the area. PW values are around 2.50"- 2.75".  The main threat for today is the chance of heavy rain, as there are very weak winds aloft, resulting in slow moving storms.  Highs today around 90 and tonight's low in the upper 70's with light southerly winds.

For Tuesday, the pattern appears to remain unchanged for the most part, as the closed low is slow to move eastward, but the moisture axis associated with the trough should move enough eastward to allow for the reduction in storm coverage.  Again, heavy rain will be the main threat from any storms that manage to form.  High temperatures around 90, low temperature in the upper 70's with light southerly winds.

Wednesday - Friday:  The t-storm coverage should decrease as the closed low system begins to elongate while slowly working its way eastward.  Overall, the pattern will remain the same, as little change is noted through the end of the week...  Highs around 90, lows in the upper 70's with light S-SE winds.

Forecast for Tuesday September 27th

High temperature should top out around 90 degrees with a low temperature in the low 70's. However, with dewpoints in the upper 60's to low 70's the heat index temperature for the daytime will be in the upper 90's. Expect partly cloudy to overcast skies with a small chance for storms throughout the day. Winds should be very light from the northwest, switching to the southwest later in the afternoon.

Forecast for KDEN for Friday

The weather for Friday will be influenced by the high pressure over Colorado. Friday should be even warmer than Thursday. Forecast for Friday has temperatures in the high 70s to low 80s, sunny skies, light winds, and no precipitation.

Forecast for Thursday September 22 2011, KDEN

Dominating the weather for today and tomorrow is the extra tropical cyclone currently over Michigan.  For us locally this means we will be under high pressure conditions.  This will mean that we will have clear skies with temperatures just outside climatological normals, no rain, and moderate winds.

High:  79 F
Low:  41 F
Wind:  12kts
Precip:  0.0in

Wednesday, September 21, 2011

A surface trough disturbance will persist through Wednesday bringing cooler temperatures in the mid to upper 60's. Lows will be cooler as well, dipping into the mid 40's. Winds will be between 5-10 knots shifting from southeasterly to north/northeasterly flow in the afternoon or early evening. There is a slight chance of precipitation, but not significant amounts of precipitation are expected.

Weekly outlook

For the rest of the week -- After a mild day today, expect temperatures to cool into the mid to upper 60's on Tuesday and Wednesday as a ridge builds behind a cold front associated with an upper level trough that will move through our area Tuesday morning. Not much moisture is accompanying this trough, so don't expect any precipitation. Just an increase in cloudiness. For Thursday through the weekend high temperatures will progressively warm into the upper 70's, with some low 80's possible. Low's the rest of the week will range in the mid to upper 40's.

Tuesday, 20 September 2011 KDEN

In Denver tomorrow, the high will only hit high 60s due to a party cloudy afternoon, though there is very little chance for rain in the Denver Metro area. The low temperature will be in the lower 50s. There will be a steady breeze from the east.

Friday, September 16, 2011 (KDEN)

Friday, September 16, 2011 (KDEN)

The beginning of the period will see the Denver Cyclone from today (Thursday) lingering for a few hours before the south-westerly winds kick in for the first part of the day on Friday. This will keep temperatures cool for the overnight, with low temperatures for Friday being in the upper 40's. Light SE winds shifting SW around sunrise.

Friday will see a warm up in temperatures thanks to this south-westerly flow, but PW values remain around 0.6-0.8 for the day per the GFS model. An upper trough will also make its way through the area midday. With the warmer conditions and this remnant moisture, combined with the energy associated with this upper trough passage, we have a decent chance for some late day thundershowers, especially over the Palmer Divide... POP around 20%. Friday's max temps in the mid 70's with light SW winds, shifting SE in the late afternoon.

Forecast for Sept 15, 2011 [KDEN]

For Thursday, expect temperatures in the mid 50s to lower 60s. A cold front paired with an upper level trough brings cooler temperatures into the area on Wednesday which will continue into Thursday. The highest chances of precipitation are in the mountains, but wind gusts could be around 15 kts.

Wednesday, September 14 KDEN

Overcast skys on Tuesday night will persist into Wednesday keeping the high temperature around 54. Frontal influence from the East will provide rains through the day. Accumulating about .26 inches. Overnight the low will remain around 47 and winds associated with the front will be around 12 knots with gusts up to 20 knots.

Outlook

Looking forward, the temperature will decrease from the 80's to the 60's. Friday will return to the 70's. Low temperatures will remain in the high 40's to low 50's. Cloud cover will increase until Wednesday night with decreasing cloud cover through Friday. Increasing chances for rain starting tonight until Thursday night with snow accumulation in the higher mountain ranges.

KDEN forecast for Tuesday, September 13, 2011

A weak cold front is expected to cross the state as a surface trough deepens, bringing cooler temperatures Tuesday, mid-seventies, with light winds and a chance of showers throughout the day. Light winds will be present Tuesday evening as the cold front continues to pass through with a weak temperature gradient, low temperatures will remain around 52F.

Forecast for Friday Sept. 2

For Friday, look for high's to be in the low to mid 70's and low's in the lower 50's. A high pressure ridge is going to build over southwestern Colorado, which should keep us in a dry pattern for the next several days. As such, expect skies to be mostly clear to partly cloudy with generally calm winds of between 5 and 10 knots. During most of the day on Friday, these winds should be north to northeasterly.

KDEN Forecast for Thursday, September 08, 2011

A slow moving upper trough continues to move its way across the state while weakening at the same time, lending way to drier conditions for Thursday.  GFS models show PW values decreasing from 1.0 at the time of this post to 0.2 as of 18Z Thursday. Overall, the synoptic pattern will remain rather unchanged courtesy of a blocking pattern in place over the eastern U.S., and we will continue to see below normal temperatures for the period.

For Wednesday night, we will see the shower activity decreasing and skies clearing with lows around 50.  For Thursday: Mostly sunny skies with highs around 72-75 and light winds around 5-7 kts.  For Thursday night: Mostly clear and cooler, with lows around 47-50 and light winds around 5 kts.

Forecast for KDEN (Weds, Sept 7, 2011)

Denver has a surface low to the SE. A trough is moving into the Denver-Metro area which brings in instability that is enhanced by the mountains which brings possibilities for showers and isolated weak thunderstorms. Weds should be in the mid-70s with a light wind.

Weekly Outlook 9/5-9/10

Denver will remain under a consistent ridge of upper-level high pressure throughout the week, with a shortwave disturbance moving in on Wednesday. This disturbance will increase the likelihood of thunderstorms on Wednesday, with temperatures in the lower 70's. As this disturbance moves out, temperatures are expected to return to the upper 70's Thursday with a slight chance of thunderstorms remaining throughout the week.

2 SEPT 2011

Expect some clouds throughout the day bringing the high temperature to around 83°F. Low temperature will be around 60°F. Pressure will remain high with winds coming from the north and changing to a southeasterly wind. There is a slight chance for precipitation with trace amounts to the south of Denver where a weak cold front will organize after noon.

Expect another very hot and dry day for our forecast area. A high pressure ridge will continue to dominate today, allowing temperatures to reach the mid-90's. There will be light southwesterly winds from 5 to 10 knots throughout the day with only a very slight chance of storms this evening.

Tuesday, August 30, 2011

The above normal temperatures continue for another day courtesy of an upper level ridge currently positioned over Texas.   Westerly winds will continue to mix out the remaining surface moisture, resulting in drier conditions and minimal chances for precipitation today.  Expect mostly sunny skies and high temperatures in the lower 90's and tonight's low temperature to be in the low 60's.  Light north-westerly winds around 5 kts.

Monday, 29 Aug 2011

Stationary front over central Wyoming to NE Texas may bring precipitation to areas east of the Denver area. However a ridge that is south of the Denver area which will move east which will lead to a more Westerly wind component. This will lead to a drier evening than will be seen to the East. Best chances of precipitation can be seen east of the Denver area. Low chance of precipitation tonight and winds of 8-12 kts.

Weekly outlook for week of 8/29/2011

Disorganised ridge hovering over the Rocky Mountains will slowly move out toward the end of the week.  High humidity with weak high pressure presents the potential for afternoon cloud cover and showers.  New moisture is not being brought into the region leaving the chance for precipitain lessening as the week goes on.  Expect clear hot mornings follwed by cloudy afternoons with scattered rain showers.