09 December 2010

Friday, Dec. 10 for Muskegon, MI

A brief break in the snow tomorrow before another system brings more precipitation early week. The high temperature tomorrow will only be in the mid 30's with a low in the upper 20's. Windy conditions from a low pressure passing to the north will be possible in the early morning hours. In addition there is a brief chance for early morning snow before becoming mostly cloudy in the afternoon. Snow then returns again over the weekend as another surface low moves into the Great Lakes region.

08 December 2010

Forecast for December 9 2010

Slight chance of snow in the evening hours with small accumulation.  Dew points should drop during the morning hours allowing the temperatures to drop below twenty.  After this period of clearing a small weather system will move in picking up winds to about 20 knots.  And in these cloudy, windy, conditions the temperature will not exceed the freezing point.

06 December 2010

Week of Dec 6, 2010, Muskegon, Mi

Currently a closed low positioned over Maine is causing wind vectors and surface differential temps to maintain a lake-effect setup. This effect will be strong at times with accumulation rates of up to an inch per hour in the harbor and SE coastal areas. Snowfall amounts exceeding a foot are possible in localized areas through Tuesday morning. As this low lingers over the eastern shore, flow in the region will have only a short time to take an anticyclonic component and the lower level moisture will decrease due to cold, dry advection from the north, the decrease in lake to air temp differential will degrade the lake effect potential Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday, allowing for momentary clear skies. Late Thursday another clipper moves into the area with associated properties, expected only to bring light snow through Friday and snowfall rates will increase for the weekend in the northern part of the forecast area.

02 December 2010

Muskegon Mi, December 3 2010

As the wind direction changes from WNW to NNW Friday, sky cover will diminish, the potential for lake effect snow diminishes with the change of the wind after the passing of an upper level shortwave. Flow will briefly become anticyclonic behind this system and ahead of the next system which moves into the area late Friday. Current models place the left exit region of the jet to the southwest of the forecast area, reducing POPS in the northern part of the state and increasing precipitation potential in the southern portion of the state. Lake effect conditions resume Friday evening with the onset of cyclonic flow. The difference in temperature from the lake surface to the air exceeds the 13 degree critical difference, fetch is substantial, exceeding 160km with wind vectors from the northwest, however, with little moisture in the column and decreasing relative humidity expect only light flurries on either side of the dry slot Friday.

01 December 2010

Muskegon, MI December 2, 2010

Cold temperates continue as the chance for lake effect show drops. The high temperature tomorrow will be in the low 30's with a low temperature in the mid to upper 20's as the area is stuck under cloud cover. Breezy westerly wind conditions tomorrow as a low pressure system in Canada continues to move toward the Atlantic Ocean. Although not as good as today, there is still a chance for lake effect snow tomorrow with new accumulations around 2 inches. Falling snow and windy conditions may create hazardous whiteout conditions at times during the day tomorrow.

30 November 2010

December 1st 2010 discussion

After yesterdays frontal passage weather conditions will linger in the area.  Temperatures will remain in a narrow high and low due to complete overcast conditions with a high in the mid thirties and a lows in the high twenties.  winds will be constant at above 10 knots and light snow is expected throughout the next day.

29 November 2010

Muskegon, MI - Forecast for 11/30

Warmer temperatures are present in Muskegon, as a strong front prepares to move into the area later this week. Cold air advection across Lake Michigan will create unstable air and create showers beginning Monday evening and continuing through Tuesday. Snow Tuesday night is possible as a strong upper level low and cold front moves into the forecast area. Expect highs for Tuesday to be in the high 40's, lows to be in the upper 20's. Winds will be from the south to south east between 16-25 knots, high wind gusts are possible.

MUSKEGON, MI WEEK 1 OUTLOOK

I'm only posting this because I think my name is under week long outlook! Anyway, looking at the week in Muskegon, Michigan, the big picture includes moisture and dropping temperatures. A ridge of high pressure has moved out and a cold front is coming, expected to pass tomorrow afternoon. That means today's mild high temperatures will drift downward beginning sometime tomorrow afternoon to reach a range of low- to mid- '30's from Wednesday through Friday. Diurnal ranges will shrink also from about 20 degrees on Tuesday to only ten degrees or less for the rest of the week. The probability of precipitation is greatest on Tuesday and Wednesday, with about 30% rising to 70%. With the rising temperatures, this will take the form of rain showers Tuesday and rain-snow mix to normal snow possible on Wednesday. Probabilities drop for Thursday and Friday, but lake effect snow overnight on these days is still a possibility.

18 November 2010

Friday Nov. 19 Huntsville, Al

Expect a foggy morning in Huntsville as humidity will linger around 100% until just after sunrise. The clearing fog will lead to a mild day with clear skies, no precipitation and light southerly winds. The high temperature will reach the mid 60's and the low will stay well above freezing, around 40 degrees. Expect MVFR conditions in the morning, clearing by 7:00am local time, and then no appreciable aviation weather is expected.

Huntsville, AL for Friday, November 19

The forecast period for Huntsville ends pleasantly with a surface high pressure system moving over NE Alabama, bringing highs in the mid- to low- '60's and lows around 40, and a very sunny afternoon. Southerly to easterly winds will again be light, between about 4 and 8 mph, and the area will remain dry as relative humidity dips below 60% for much of Friday.

16 November 2010

Huntsville, AL Wednesday, Nov. 17

After a cool and wet start to the week, conditions will dry out as High pressure moves in. The high temperature will be around 60 with the low dropping in to the mid to upper 30's from light winds and mostly clear skies overnight. Dry conditions are expected for the rest of the forecasting period as a ridge builds over the southeast US.

15 November 2010

Huntsville, AL Week 2 Outlook

An upper level trough and surface low are currently passing over the Huntsville area bringing rain and cooler temperatures today. Expect rain into Tuesday, with winds between 10-15 knots. The low pressure system will move out mid week, bringing high temperatures into the low 60's, lows in the low 40's, and calmer winds 5-8 knots.

11 November 2010

Friday, Nov. 12.

A high pressure system is still dominating this region bringing highs into the mid 70's for Friday, with lows in the low 40's. There will be a light easterly wind 4-8knots with no precipitation expected.

10 November 2010

Huntsville Al, Nov 11th

Thursday November 11th will be mild and clear in Huntsville Al due to high pressure in the region. Daytime temps will reach for the high 70's while overnight low will remain above 40. Winds from the west to southwest will be calm and no precipitation will fall. MVFR conditions may exist before 7:00am EST due to high morning himidity. VFR conditions should presist throughout the remainder of Thursday and into Friday before the approach of the low pressure system that is currently causing precip in the middle western part of the conus.

Hunstville, AL: 11/11/10

The warming trend continues tomorrow as high pressure moves slowly east. Overnight lows and daytime highs will be slightly higher than today's, in the low '40's and mid- to upper- '70's. Very light easterly winds will also persist, around 5 mph and no precipitation is expected for tomorrow.

08 November 2010

Week of Nov 8, Huntsville Alabama

Calm and cloudy tomorrow in Huntsville which is currently under high conditions.  These conditions will remain through this week as this high moves over the area  Winds will remain calm while temperatures should slightly increase through Thursday due to increased moisture coming into the area with lows starting in the low 30s increasing to the high 30s and highs going from the low 70s to the high 70s.  Precipitation is not expected.

Huntsville, AL for Tuesday, Nov. 9

Calm day tomorrow as a High pressure settles in for the next couple of days. The high temperature will be in the low to mid 70's with the low temperature dipping into the mid 30's overnight from clear skies with calm conditions. Light winds and no precipitation are expected tomorrow and for the next few days.

03 November 2010

November 4, 2010

Today will be the last quiet day of weather in Allentown, as a low pressure system will move northward from the Carolinas. This system is expected to bring a fair amount of rain Thursday, with winds between 7 and 10 knots. High temperatures will remain in the high forties, low fifties, with lows in the upper thirties.

02 November 2010

ALLENTOWN, PA: November 3, 2010

Temperatures continue to stay below normal as Allentown sits slightly to the north of the jet stream and the high pressure system over the Great Lakes moves slowly east northeast. After a virtually cloudless day, expect cloud cover to increase very slightly over the evening hours as wind direction changes from a northerly flow to a more southerly flow. Low temperatures should be in the high '20's while day time highs will be near 50. Expect no precipitation for Wednesday and extremely light winds peaking at around 7 mph in the early afternoon.

01 November 2010

KABE 11-02-10

A freeze warning is in effect for this evening as a high pressure system centered over the Great Lakes advects cold air into the cloud free forecast area overnight aiding radiational cooling processes to drop overnight temperatures into the mid 20's. During the day Tuesday, cold north winds at 5-8 mph will overrun daytime heating from the sun, keeping Tuesday's daytime high in the lower 50's despite clear skies all day. The low on Tuesday night may also merrit a freeze warning; it is not expected to exceed 30 degrees. No precipitation is expected Tuesday and VFR flight conditions shoulld presist throughtout the forecast period.

Allentown, PA week outlook

Fair weather continues with cool temps and possible rain later on. As a High pressure system moves into the region temperatures will be cooler than average for the beginning of the week with dry conditions. Temperatures will begin to warm slightly by Wednesday but a trough moves into the area around Thursday bringing back cooler temperatures and a chance for rain.

28 October 2010

Allentown, PA Friday, Oct. 29

After an unsettled pattern, the weather starts to settle down again as a front moves by and high pressure builds. The high temperature tomorrow will be in the mid 50's with the low around 40. Moderate winds around 13kts and higher will be present tomorrow behind the cold front so wind chills might be a factor for some. No precipitation is expected tomorrow. Looking ahead the conditions look dry and cool for the coming days as high pressure dominates.

27 October 2010

Thursday, October 27, 2010

After the passage of the cold front on Tuesday there is a slot of dry air that is moving into the area allowing the overnight lows to get to the low 50's with the cloud cover mellowing it a little and keeping winds calm.  Highs in the high 60's with some cloud cover and winds picking up during the day due to the synoptic forcing of the low over the great lakes.

25 October 2010

Long term forecast KABE

Monday's storms linger into Tuesday as a shortwave moves over the forecast area. Drizzle Tuesday mornig will evaporate by midday leaving hight humidity levels and increasing sensible heat. A new cold front moves into the area late Tuesday night and resultant shortwaves move northeast causing isolated thundershowers. If windshear values increase Wednesday there will be a chance for severe storms. Moisture from this cold front will linger through Thursday, and taper off Friday morning.

ALLENTOWN, PA: OCTOBER 26, 2010

The pattern of slightly above normal temperatures will continue through Tuesday with the chance of precipitation dropping off markedly from today to between 5 and 15 per cent. Temperatures will reach the low '70's after overnight lows in the upper '50's. Winds will be light, between 5 and 10 mph, with partly cloudy skies. Although there is a chance precipitation, accumulation should reach no more than one- or two- one-hundredths of an inch during the early a.m., if that.

21 October 2010

Glasgow Mt, Friday Oct 22

Expect a mild and pleasant day Friday with a high of 62, a low of 35 and west winds at 10 miles per hour. No precipitation is expected Friday, though high humidity in the morning could cause a layer of dew frost on the windshield. VFR flight conditions should last into Friday evening before the sky cover increases in front of an impending Pacific system.

20 October 2010

Glasgow, MT Thursday, Oct. 21

Dry, seasonal conditions will continue for the Glasgow area tomorrow before a cool down. High temperatures will be in the mid 60's with a low around 33. Winds will be light around 12 knots with no precipitation in the imminent forecast. A cold from will drop down from Canada on Friday and bring colder temperatures but little precipitation.

19 October 2010

Wx discussion for Wednesday, October 20 2010

High conditions through Wednesday.  Dewpoints should remmain in the low thirties keeping the low close to freezing.  Winds will be in the normal range of about 9 kts due to local effects under these conditions.  The high will be slighly higher than the climate normal because there will be clear skies that will let in the sunlight.  But this high will still only be about 60F.

18 October 2010

Glasgow, MT - Oct. 19, 2010

Weather will remain relatively calm in Glasgow tomorrow, as the area is currently under a high pressure system. Highs will be around high fifties to low sixties, with overnight lows in the low to mid thirties with northwest/west winds calm between 3-8 knots. No precipitation is expected.

Glasgow, MT: Week 2 Outlook

Northeastern Montana will sit under a building ridge of high pressure all week, bringing slightly higher than normal temperatures for daytime highs, in the mid- to lower- '60's. Lows should be about normal in the mid-30's due to a generally dry pattern moving over the area. Expect wind speeds to average in the normal range -- between 8 to 13 knots. No measurable precipitation is expected before next weekend.

14 October 2010

Glasgow, MT: Friday, October 15

The upper level ridge will remain over the area on Friday, keeping temperatures slightly above normal in the upper '60's, lows in the mid '30's, and precipitation probabilities low enough for dry conditions to persist. By the late afternoon, a cold front may cause stronger winds than the past few days, between 20 and 25 mph. Expect clear skies all day, with the exception of the mid-afternoon.

13 October 2010

Glasgow MT, Thursday Oct 14

Expect a mild and pleasant day Thursday, with a high in the low 70's. The high pressure system over the area will bring clear skies and mild south to southeast winds. No precipitation is expexted and the overnight low will be mild, in the low 40's. This rather uneventful weather pattern will allow VFR conditions to presist throughtout the period. No fog advisory, and no notable weather before Friday when the winds pick up.

12 October 2010

Glasgow, MT Wednesday, Oct 13

As the rain and cool temperatures move out, dry conditions with warmer weather move in. Highs will be in the mid to upper 60's for the Glasgow area with the low temp in the mid 30's. Patchy frost could occur especially in low laying areas. Winds will be light around 8 kts tomorrow and the skies will remain clear as High pressure moves overhead. Seasonal temperatures with dry conditions will continue through Friday.

11 October 2010

Tuesday 10/12/10 Weather discussion

The rain and windiness of Monday will have passed in the night allowing the night to cool to the mid 30s. This will leave Glasgow sunny with a high of about 60F and winds in the 15-20 kts range.  No precipitation is expected in these post frontal passage conditions.

Glasgow, MT, week 1 outlook

A surface cold front is currently moving through the area and will bring precipitation and cooler temperatures into Tuesday. A strong temperature gradient will also bring stronger winds. Models are showing a ridge system moving in mid week, bringing warmer temperatures and sunny weather to Glasgow.

07 October 2010

Oct. 8, 2010

Good morning!

There is still a dominant high pressure system sitting over southern Texas, bringing warm temperatures in the high eighties/low nineties for tomorrow. Expect nighttime lows around the mid to lower sixties. Winds are calm and currently from the north east, but they look to shift east/south east early tomorrow morning. No precipitation is expected for this area.

06 October 2010

Brownsville, TX: Thursday, 10/7/10

High temperature in the mid '80's, low in the lower '60's. The dry, sunny pattern continues into Thursday, as the 500-mb Omega Block pattern persists, supporting a ridge of upper level high pressure over south Texas. Winds will remain in the same range as the last few days, around 8 knots, due to upper level diffluence and the strong meridional wind component. Relatively dry air over the region combined with continued northerly to northeasterly winds along the Texas coast will result in a maximum temperature slightly higher than Wednesday and no expected precipitation.

05 October 2010

Weather Discussion Brownsville TX, 10-06-10

Wednesday 10-06-10 will be foggy in the morning due to radiational cooling and high nocturnal humidity. The fog will disburse shortly after sunrise and mostly clear skies will allow the daytime high to reach 86. Winds from the northeast will remain at 8-10 knots and the overnight low will not drop below 65. No precipitation is expected Wednesday. No aviation advisories are in effect for south central Tx, VFR conditions are expected after the morning fog clears. A combination of the lunar cycle and moderate marine swells off the northeast coast are causing dangerous rip currents and 3 to 5 foot waves at beaches within the forecast area.

04 October 2010

Outlook for week of October 4

The dominant high conditions will continue through the week.  Highs may mellow later in the week due to the troughs following the high system, however precipitation is unlikely because the shallowness of the troughs.   Lows will still be limited by the dew points in the 60s.  Overall the weather will be clear and warm with cool nights.

Brownsville, TX Tuesday, Oct. 5

High pressure still over the upper Midwest will continue to keep Brownsville hot and precip free. High temperatures will be close to normal with a high around 86 and a low around 68. Winds will be relatively light around 12 knots with no precip expected. No change in weather patterns is expected for the time being while a upper level ridge continues to dominate the central part of the country.

30 September 2010

Wx discussion Thursday

The High that has been dominating the weather in the west this past week is still making it's way across the country leaving an inverted ridge over most of Texas. This should almost eliminate the chance of precipitation despite dew points in the mid sixties. This humidity should mellow the overnight low and keep it in the upper sixties. The clear skys should continue bringing the high temperature up to the high eighties low nineties. These high conditions and the general flow from the west will act to counteract the usual windy conditions in this coastal area keeping the winds below 15 knots or so.

29 September 2010

Forecast for September 30, 2010

Good morning everyone!

Brownsville is still currently under a strong high pressure system, bringing warm temperatures during the day, with temperatures staying cooler in the evening. Expect highs to be around 89 and over night lows to be around 63. Winds are from the north/northeast and should stay relatively calm throughout the day, around 5-10mph, but climatology data suggests that sustained wind 2 minute maximums could hover around 15 - 20 mph. No precipitation is expected as the high pressure is creating dry conditions.

Happy forecasting!

28 September 2010

WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 29TH

Highs will remain in the upper 80's, possibly about 88, with overnight temperatures in the lower 60's as high pressure remains over south Texas. Upper level diffluence signals slightly lighter winds for the area, near 15 knots. It will remain dry and virtually cloudless, with no precipitation expected.

27 September 2010

Brownsville TX, 9-28-10

Tuesday, 9-28-10 high temperature will reach 87 degrees, overnight low will not drop below 60 and steady north wind will remain around 10mph. Expect advection fog in the morning, and clear skies for the duration of the day. A large high pressure system over the region, coupled with a lack of available moisture will inhibit precipitation Tuesday and for the next few days.

Week Outlook for Brownsville, TX

After a recent cold front, the upcoming week will be dry with warm temperatures. High pressure over the Midwest will create northerly winds for Texas bringing in warm, dry conditions that will last all week. High temperatures will be a little warmer than average with low temps expected to be about average. No precipitation is expected as the surface High pressure and upper level ridge stay relatively stationary all week.

13 September 2010

Forecast for Tuesday, Sept. 14

Dry, mild conditions will continue for the Denver area with a cool down later this week. A persistant ridge over Colorado will keep the temperature about the same with a high tomorrow of 87F. Clear skies overnight tonight but warm ground temperatures will keep tonight's low around 53F. Without any persistant wind pattern or advancing fronts the winds tomorrow will be calm with a max around 9 kts and no precipatation is expected with 0.00in. The dry, warm pattern will continue through mid to late week when a cold front passage will cool down the temperature but has little moisture associated with it. There is little chance of percip. with the front which is needed to help combat the fire conditions.

Denver, Co 9-14-10

Daytime high 88, night time low 56 winds variable and 10mph max, no precip tomorrow within forecast area, however daytime heating may cause convection along topographic features. An upper level ridge is positioned to block the southern propogation of a cold surface front tomorrow, allowing Denver temperatures to reach almost 90. A persistence forecast is sufficiant for tomorrow's weather because no active pressure systems are moving in to affect the area. Winds will remain below 10 mph and be vairable from west to north in direction due to slight pressure change over the day. Precipitation potential over the area is very low while daytime heating could cause convection near the Cheyanne Ridge and into northeast CO. Night conditions will remain mild with a low around 56 degrees as slight cloud cover will retard night time cooling.

26 April 2010

Denver's Tuesday Discussion

A tranquil day for the front range as an upper level ridge moves across area and high pressure in control at the surface. Temperatures at 700mb are shown to rise 10C between 00Z Tuesday and 00z Wednesday by the 12z run of the GFS. As the ridge axis moves across the area by 18z Tuesday a southwest flow will result bringing warm dry air from the southwest. Our low temperature Tuesday morning could be effect by moisture and cloud cover shown on both the GFS and NAM. Light winds will begin to pick up at the end of the period as the ridge pushes off to the east and a large trough bears down on the west.

22 April 2010

KAMA Friday Forecast

As upper-level system and sfc cold front moves on, expect conditions to dry out and cool off.
High temps should be in the mid to upper 60's with the low in the mid 40's. Winds will be high in the upper 20's. Precip will mostly be during the early hours, then drying out as the day progresses.

20 April 2010

KAMA Wednesday 21 Forecast

Stormy and cool conditions continue as the the weak low persists, but drier conditions will return later in the week. Highs tomorrow will be in the mid to low 70's and the low will be around 50. Scattered showers and thunderstorms could produce locally heavy rain and windy conditions. A better chance of thunderstorms will be on Thursday as a strong system moves into the area with the possibility of severe thunderstorms.

19 April 2010

Tuesday's Discussion For KAMA

The period starts with the western US under a 500mb ridge and a deep trough just moving onshore. The 0z GFS shows a short wave ejecting out of the trough with surface low pressure, and precipitation forming by the end of the period. The NAM does not show this and is thus much drier. There is enough moisture and instability that afternoon storms are quite possible even without upper level support. Temperatures rise a few degrees from Monday with a little increase in thickness and heights.

16 April 2010

Forcast for Saturday 17 April 2010

Rain Rain go away! The cold front has passed through the region this morning bringing cooler temps, but a low pressure is set up south of Amarillo and is bringing rain to the area. This low is drawing moisture up from the gulf which is converging with the cold front. The low seems to be a slow moving system and both GFS and Eta show more rain in the forecast for Saturday. Rain totals could reach 1/4 of an inch. Highs should reach the mid 50's with lows around 40 for Saturday morning. Winds should be around 10 - 20 mph with gusts near stronger storms.

15 April 2010

KAMA Forecat for Friday

The area seems to be a focal point, with strong moisture transport from gulf associated with SE high in thegulf area, aswell as a low to the east. A cold front ahead of high pressure building in the centre of the country will help to focus the precip. Expect high to be in low 60's with the low temp in near 50. Will be overcast throughout the day, with precip mostly showers. Wind in the teens, but my gust into 20's due to a local thunderstorm activity.

13 April 2010

KAMA Wednesday April 14

Stormy weather continues even as the cold front passes. Temperatures will be lower behind the cold front with the high only in the mid 60's. The low will drop down to the mid 50's with continued windy conditions. With good low level moisture values and marginal daytime heating the chance for afternoon and evening thunderstorms remains high but any precipitation will be localized.

12 April 2010

Tuesday's KAMA Discussion

Tuesday will start a more active and wet week with a deep trough approaching from the west coast and a ridge to the east. This points the area in good moisture advection from the gulf in a south southeast flow. Also the surface low will drag a dry line across the area in the afternoon enhancing thunderstorm activity. With warm air and moisture advection along with a dry line expect to see thunderstorms tomorrow afternoon. Temperatures will be a few degrees cool than Monday's with cloudy skies.

09 April 2010

Forecast for Saturday April 10

Look out for that flying trash can! Nothing of note going on differently for Saturday. High pressure still dominates the region. Winds will increase and range from 20- 25 mph and gust could reach 35 mph. Highs will be in the upper 70's and lows could dip below freezing. Temps will feel colder in the morning due to the winds.

08 April 2010

Friday Forecast KAMA

Predominant high pressure in the area will result in clear skies and dry conditions with expected large diurnal range...models in strong agreement with high temp in the mid 70's and low in the mid 30's...wind breezy..upper teens throughout most the day...associated with fixed sfc low and trough just north of Panhandle.

06 April 2010

KAMA Wednesday April 7

High winds and a low humidity continue to keep the fire danger high. Highs will be in the mid to upper 50's behind Tuesdays cold front. The low will be much colder than it has been during the past few days, dipping down into the mid to upper 30's. Strong northwesterly winds will continue with wind gusts possibly over 40 mph. No precipitation is expected for the week.

05 April 2010

Tuesday's KAMA Discussion

Strong southwest flow becoming northwest as a deep trough passes over the area during the forecast period. A strong pressure gradient at the surface will keep winds high, while a cold front will push through by 18Z. Temperatures will be much cooler than Monday's in response to this, but without any moisture around it will be dry.

01 April 2010

Forecast for Friday 2 April 2010

Rain Rain....Go Away! Rain will be moving into the area Friday morning into Friday after noon. GFS has totals around .5 inches, and has the low tracking South of the forecast region. Low's will be around 40 degrees with the highs pushing into the upper 40's. Winds will range from 10 - 20 mph with gusts 15 - 25 mph. The tournament starts next week and we are moving to Amarillo, TX. Keep an eye on a low moving north of the area on Tuesday....according to GFS.

31 March 2010

KFAR Thursday Forecast

Rain moving in associated with the ETC tracking towards the area. An UL short wave will give some support, but looks like the majority of the weather will be moving to the north . Expecting tempertures to drop with the high in the upper 50s and low in the lower 40s. Chances of precip increase tthroughout the day...expecting up to a quarter of an inch, but is dependent on sytem track and SW progression. Expect breezy condition increasing later in the day.

30 March 2010

Forecast for KFAR, March 31

A weak disturbance moves through the region tomorrow with a slight chance for a few light showers. Due to increased cloud cover tomorrow the high will be a little cooler than today, reaching into the mid 60's. The low will be in the mid to lower 40's from the saturated ground. Rainfall amounts should be light which is good because the region is still under a flood warning and still at major flood stage.

29 March 2010

KFAR's Tuesday Discussion

It will be a nice warm day with a change later in the period. Heights will be rising with warm air advection and a flat ridge over the area. Above normal temperatures for Tuesday, with strong southerly winds a head of a weak cold front. The GFS has been the most robust with this front with more precip while the NAM is just showing enough moisture for clouds. Temperatures will be above freezing, so any precip will be rain.

18 March 2010

KBVT Friday 18 March 2010

Nice boring day today! A weak trough brought clouds in on Thursday keeping to low temps in the mid 30's. For Friday the highs will be in the upper 50's to lower 60's in the region. If the cloud move out, Lows could get into the lower 30's. Winds have been pretty constant throughout the forecast period and Friday should be no different with wind around 9 - 13 knots.

16 March 2010

Wednesday KBTV March 17

The mild conditions continue with the only chance of precipitation coming into next week. Wednesday will be in the mid 50's with mostly sunny skies except for a few clouds later on. The low will be around freezing and no chance of precipitation since the storm system off the coast has moved further south.

15 March 2010

KBTV Tuesday Discussion

The forecast period will start with the eastern half of the country under the influence of a trough and ridging over the west. The storm that brought hurricane conditions to the areas like New York and Boston will be moving southeast off of the north South Carolina coast keeping our area in a northerly flow. The winds at the surface will go from the north east to the north west with the next area of low pressure approaching from the Hudson Bay. High pressure at the surface will allow for dry air and warmer temperatures, remember normal for right now is 39. Lows could bottom out, though, at night with light winds and dry air.

10 March 2010

Thurday Forecast KBTV

High pressure continues to build over the area...some cold air advection, although NE tracking low is impeeding this flow. Expecting clear conditions overnight wednesday into thursday morning, with cloud cover building throughout the day. Diurnal variation should be quite large, with morning temps in low 20's with a fair amount of heating throughout the day... high in the upper 40's. QPF shows a very slight chance of precip boardering the area, but not expecting any precip for thursday... POPs increasing into friday morning.
Winds should be light.

09 March 2010

Wed. March 10th Burlington, VT

A few more calm days before the next weather system moves into the region. The cold front that was north in Canada has now moved through the region, so clear skies will persist tomorrow. The high temperature will be in the mid 40's and the low temperature will drop into the low 20's from the clear skies overnight. Enjoy the fair weather and light winds before the chance of rain later this week.

08 March 2010

KBTV Tuesday's Discussion

A quiet and relatively warm period for Burlington tomorrow. There is a deep low/trough off the Newfoundland coast which will slowly move east allowing for high pressure to build into the Northeast. This will allow for temperatures a few degrees above normal and light winds. Expect large diurnal temperature swings with light winds and being in a valley. No precipitation is in the forecast until the end of the week.

03 March 2010

Thursday Forecast KLIT

High pressure building as previous system moves out...expect clear skies overnight and drying leading to cool morning temperatures...clear throughout the day, so max temperature should be on the up, expect in the low to mid 50's. Winds aloft really high, but calm winds are expected at the surface.Mixing down may add to surface heating and max temperatures.

02 March 2010

Little Rock, AR - Wed. March 3

Chilly, breezy conditions move out and a mild weather pattern moves in. A stable airmass will be settling in over the region which will keep the weather consistent for a while. The high temperature will be around 50 and the low will be around the freezing mark. Light to moderate winds throughout the day with no precipitation forecasted until early next week.

01 March 2010

KLIT's Discussion For Tuesday

A big storm to the south, but tranquil weather for Little Rock. To begin the 6z to 6z period there is a large trough with the trough axis going right through Arkansas and the base over the Gulf Coast. This will push east with the flow going from northeast to north west. Being on the back side of the trough and an approaching ridge will allow for dry conditions and temperatures similar to Monday's. Some tranquil weather to begin the week.

25 February 2010

Forecast for Friday 26 Feb 10

A surface low with an associated upper low is making its way through Texas today and moving toward the SE. This system will bring a rain and a small potential for snow to the region. Highs should hover around 40 and lows should dip below freezing giving the area the potential for a slushy mix. This system should only affect the area through Friday night.

24 February 2010

KLIT Thursday Forecast

High pressure building as the upper level trough moves east... Clear skies tonight, should bring lower morning temperatures...North wind should keep temperatures down, but expecting a shift to the NE later in the say...expect generally light winds. Afternoon temps will be similar to today.

23 February 2010

Little Rock, AR - Wed. Feb. 24

A weak disturbance will bring mostly cloudy conditions to Little Rock from the start of the forecast period till the early morning hours. Then mostly sunny conditions will remain for the rest of the day. Due to low early morning clouds and some cold air coming in from the north the temperature be in the mid 40's and the low tomorrow will be in the upper 20's. No precipitation is expected tomorrow but another disturbance could bring in the chance for a rain/snow mix on Friday.

22 February 2010

KLIT's Discussion for Tuesday

Well below normal temperatures will start the period with a closed low and upper level trough moving east. The midsection of the country is under a broad positively tilted trough and ridges on both coasts. The trough moves east with the trough axis passing by by 18z. This puts Arkansas in northwest flow aloft with strong cold air advection. At the surface high pressure will be in control with moisture from the previous system being flushed out.

18 February 2010

KSEA for Friday Feb 19

High Pressure will dominate the weather for the Northwest for Friday! Temps should remain about the same as Thursday with highs in the upper 50's. Morning temps will be in the upper 30's. Winds will be light, around 5 to 15 mph. Keep an eye on Little Rock over the weekend to get an idea for our next forecast area.

17 February 2010

KSEA Forecast for Thurday

A building ridge over the area with asssociated high pressure means pretty boring weather...the models agree... so expect a cooler morning temperature and slighly warmer high...otherwise uuuhmm..yawn.. blues skies and "nice" weather for thursday!

16 February 2010

Seattle, WA- Wednesday Feb. 17

Drier weather pattern for the rest of the forecasting period. As today's Pacific storm moves out of the region a cooler, drier pattern will set up for Seattle for the rest of the week. Because of clear skies tonight and a rain cooled ground the low temperature will be around 40. With the sun coming out tomorrow, the high temperature will be in the low to mid 50's, and northwest winds around 10 mph.

15 February 2010

Seattle's Tuesday Discussion

It will be a wet start to the forecast period with dry weather ahead. The 6Z to 6Z period starts off with a warm front just moving through the area with a good amount of precip falling with this feature. The associated cold front isn't far behind, though, and will moving through from the northwest by 18Z. This will dry the area out with a upper ridge and surface high pressure building into the area by 6Z Wednesday. Models show good warm advection with heights rising and southwesterly flow turning to northwesterly behind the cold the front. The clouds and rain will keep temperatures similar to Monday's and the low could happen towards the end of the forecast period behind the cold front in a northerly flow.

11 February 2010

KSEA for Friday Feb 12...Its Gonna Rain!

The rain will continue through Friday as a Low pressure system continues to pass through the area. The warm front will pass through Friday morning while the preceding cold front will begin to move through Friday afternoon. Highs will be in the mid to upper 50's and Lows will be around 40. Winds will range from 5-15 mph.

10 February 2010

KSEA Forecast for Thurday

Rain to continue through thursday...a warm front associated with a low of the coast will be bringing precip, which may turn to a period of light showers as the weak cold front follows...a stronger cold front will follow close behind for friday...the low temp should be a little warmer than the models predict, with breezy conditions possible associated with cold front passage and stronger precip.

09 February 2010

Seattle, Feb. 10

Another system bringing in a chance of rain tomorrow afternoon. Cloudy skies will keep the high temperature in the upper 40's, and the low in the upper 30's. Rain showers will be moving into the region in the afternoon along with light to breezy conditions. Rainfall amounts around a quarter of an inch or less. Foggy conditions may occur in the early morning hours.

08 February 2010

Seattle's Tuesday Forecast

A warm and dry day will greet the Emerald City for the beginning of the week. A low pressure system will form to the south near the Oregon and California coast and dive southeast. This puts Seattle in a southeasterly to northeasterly flow as the low moves further southeast and inland. With the wind shift temperatures will be a couple of degrees cooler than Monday's. Towards the end of period a short wave ridge will start to move across ahead of the next system.

04 February 2010

A Wet Friday in Atlanta!

"Its gonna rain!" As the surface Low tracks to the East it will bring more moist air from the Gulf of Mexico into the forecast area. Rain will continue through Friday and begin to move out of the area Friday afternoon with rainfall totals between 1.5 to 3 inches. High rain totals could cause flooding problems in and around the forecast area. Winds will continue to be in the teens with gusts in the upper teens and lower 20's. Low temps will hover around 40 degrees while highs will be only a few degrees warmer than the low.

03 February 2010

ATL--Thurdsay Forecast

Timing for thursday is critical...As the trough tracks from the SW, a gulf low is prog to form and track towards the forecast area. Associated precip is a gaurantee, with the heaviest precip occuring sometime thursday night, into friday morning. Max and min temperatures will drop a few degrees...winds are expected to be in the 20's and gusty.

02 February 2010

Atlanta, Wednesday Feb 3

A cool, dry airmass is heading into the region for just a short time before the moisture returns. Highs will be in the mid 50's with the overnight low near freezing. Winds will be relatively light around 10 mph with some gusty conditions throughout the day. Dry tomorrow but the rain will return starting Thursday.

01 February 2010

Forecast Discussion For Tuesday February 2nd

The period will start off with high pressure exiting off the Mid Atlantic coast and the next wave approaching the area along the Gulf Coast. Almost a repeat of last week with temperatures supporting an all rain event. With a south easterly flow ahead of the approaching system temperatures will only be a few degrees cooler with the moisture and clouds streaming in. Both the GFS and NAM have plenty of gulf moisture so expecting at about a quarter of an inch of precipitation. As the system moves off to the east winds will turn to the north allowing temperatures to drop to a few degrees above freezing and high pressure over the area.

31 January 2010

This Week in Atlanta.

A stormy pattern is setting up for the southern US this week. A couple of Gulf of Mexico lows will move through GA this week and bringing in some soaking rain. The intensity and coverage of the precipitation will depend on the track of these systems. These lows seems to be nothing out of the ordinary WRT central pressure. The GFS has these two systems moving south of ATL on Tuesday morning and Thursday into Friday. Temperatures should remain seasonal for this week.

~Ng