Round 2 results:
Janke (15.0) v. Splitt (17.5)
O'Brien (16.0) v. Kennedy (17)
Cianca (7.5) v. Anderson (43.1)
Sanford (8.5) v. Wagner (11.0)
Semi matchups are:
Janke (16) v. O'Brien (5)
Cianca (3) v. Sanford (7)
Remember this whole week for the semifinals, you must forecast for Monday, Tuesday, Thursday and Friday.
Good luck to the survivors!
~ Doc Ng
10 April 2008
Round 2
Round 2 results can be viewed at http://clem.mscd.edu/~sng1/WxChallenge/Tournament_2008_results.htm
Good Luck to the survivors!
~Doc Ng
Good Luck to the survivors!
~Doc Ng
05 April 2008
Final MSCD Standing and Tournament Seedings
The top 16 forecasters will be entered for the 2008 MSCD April Madness tournament.
Here is the final standing.
1) ngisok (-3.189)
2) wagner (-2.704)
3) cianca (-1.539)
4) albie1 (-1.286)
5) obrien ( 0.230)
6) ka8222 ( 0.480)*
7) rissa3 ( 0.734)
8) jms9wx ( 1.367)
9) bcote1 ( 1.645)
10) bludot ( 1.996)*
11) 1225bc ( 2.547)
12) s21rty ( 3.446)
13) laine3 ( 3.468)
14) crysis ( 4.204)
15) webwan ( 4.421)
16) janke1 ( 4.928)
17) baylor ( 5.222)
18) kylef5 ( 5.766)
19) bfly16 ( 6.866)
20) tripp3 ( 7.680)
21) jill31 (10.244)*
* denotes spring forecast contest entry and does not receive a drop for its final score.
The 1st and 2nd rounds will consist of 2 forecasting days per round . The semifinals and final will consist of 4 forecasting days.
Round 1: Day 1-2 (April 7-8), Round 2: Day 3-4 (April 10-11), Semifinals: Day 5-8, and Final: Day 9-12.
REMEMBER: If you advance pass the 1st round, there is no forecast on Wednesday but instead you will need to make forecast for Friday.
Tournament Matchups
Rossby Bracket
1) Ng vs. 16) Janke
8) Splitt vs. 9) Cote
Palmen Bracket
2) Wagner vs. 15) Webb
7) Sanford vs. 10) Young
Petterssen Bracket
3) Cianca vs. 14) LaRoche
6) Anderson vs. 11) Carr
Moore Bracket
4) Kennedy vs. 13) Emerson
5) O'Brien vs. 12) Lingaard
2008 MSCD April Madness Bracket
View Larger Image
Best of Luck!
Doc Ng
Here is the final standing.
1) ngisok (-3.189)
2) wagner (-2.704)
3) cianca (-1.539)
4) albie1 (-1.286)
5) obrien ( 0.230)
6) ka8222 ( 0.480)*
7) rissa3 ( 0.734)
8) jms9wx ( 1.367)
9) bcote1 ( 1.645)
10) bludot ( 1.996)*
11) 1225bc ( 2.547)
12) s21rty ( 3.446)
13) laine3 ( 3.468)
14) crysis ( 4.204)
15) webwan ( 4.421)
16) janke1 ( 4.928)
17) baylor ( 5.222)
18) kylef5 ( 5.766)
19) bfly16 ( 6.866)
20) tripp3 ( 7.680)
21) jill31 (10.244)*
* denotes spring forecast contest entry and does not receive a drop for its final score.
The 1st and 2nd rounds will consist of 2 forecasting days per round . The semifinals and final will consist of 4 forecasting days.
Round 1: Day 1-2 (April 7-8), Round 2: Day 3-4 (April 10-11), Semifinals: Day 5-8, and Final: Day 9-12.
REMEMBER: If you advance pass the 1st round, there is no forecast on Wednesday but instead you will need to make forecast for Friday.
Tournament Matchups
Rossby Bracket
1) Ng vs. 16) Janke
8) Splitt vs. 9) Cote
Palmen Bracket
2) Wagner vs. 15) Webb
7) Sanford vs. 10) Young
Petterssen Bracket
3) Cianca vs. 14) LaRoche
6) Anderson vs. 11) Carr
Moore Bracket
4) Kennedy vs. 13) Emerson
5) O'Brien vs. 12) Lingaard
2008 MSCD April Madness Bracket
View Larger Image
Best of Luck!
Doc Ng
03 April 2008
KMSP Day 8 Discussion
Models are currently in pretty good agreement about the low temperature for this forecast period. The GFS and NAM currently forecast 34 and 33 respectively for the low. The models disagree however on the high. GFS and NAM currently forecast 58 and 53 for the high respectively. I tend to think that 58 is more reasonable with some warm air advection coming in from the west. Maximum wind is forecast by the models to be somewhere between 12 to 15 knots, and there should also be no precipitation to worry about during this forecast period.
Kennedy
Kennedy
02 April 2008
KMSP Day 7 Forecast Discussion
This forecast discussion is for the period of 6Z to 6Z spanning the 3rd and 4th of April and for the location of Minneapolis/Saint Paul International Airport, in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
Pattern shifts from zonal to a hint of trough over the forecast period as the area experiences some height falls. At the surface, the dominate anticyclone to the east will slowly move away with the upper level action. A surface cyclone, which should develop over the panhandles of Oklahoma and Texas will eventually swing up to the northeast, but should keep its weather far to the south of Minnesota. The wind field should continue to be from the south with an eventual swing to the west. Some high level clouds could be in the area from the developing storms to the south, but the day looks seasonal. Without much moisture to work with, highs could easily reach the low 50's. Lows shouldn't dip much below freezing either as a few clouds and the southerly wind component won't allow them to drop much further. Pressure gradient never really amps up, so expect winds to be rather light unless substantial differential heating over areas of snowpack, frozen lakes, or cloud shadows causes some good mixing.
Cianca.
Pattern shifts from zonal to a hint of trough over the forecast period as the area experiences some height falls. At the surface, the dominate anticyclone to the east will slowly move away with the upper level action. A surface cyclone, which should develop over the panhandles of Oklahoma and Texas will eventually swing up to the northeast, but should keep its weather far to the south of Minnesota. The wind field should continue to be from the south with an eventual swing to the west. Some high level clouds could be in the area from the developing storms to the south, but the day looks seasonal. Without much moisture to work with, highs could easily reach the low 50's. Lows shouldn't dip much below freezing either as a few clouds and the southerly wind component won't allow them to drop much further. Pressure gradient never really amps up, so expect winds to be rather light unless substantial differential heating over areas of snowpack, frozen lakes, or cloud shadows causes some good mixing.
Cianca.
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