18 November 2009

Thursday's KCLE Discussion

The period starts with a low over south eastern Missouri and as the period progresses the low moves north to almost NNW and late in the period turns east to move directly over KCLE. This will mean cooler temperatures and precipitation for the area. Both models agree on the track of the low, but differ on when the bulk of the precip will occur. The NAM as the majority falling Thursday morning while GFS is earlier and shows the precip dying down during this time. Either way the ground will be wet on Thursday with clearing ocurring with a turn to westerly flow Thursday evening. High temperatures will be a degree or two cooler with the cloud cover, but as the low moves east and the flow turns westerly cold air advection will kick.

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