30 October 2007

FC Discussion WED-FRI

Mean H pressure dominating the Continental US moves Eward ahead of approaching SW trough and assoc. PAC CF. At this time mean ZONAL flow still dominates EST 2/3CONT US. SFC L assoc. w/ Trop dist stauling off mean H pressure in the Bermuda south. This patteren leaves a W/WSW flow for daytime temp and assoc H temp accuracy being above norm. SFC winds expect to be light through next 30 hr period w/ weak press gradient. There is decent LL moisture available with no UL support at this time. L press. moves NNE and eventually ENE allowing H to move off of seaboard and approaching SW trough to accelerate. Immediate FC results suggest that an above normal high and low can be expected for next 24-36, although fluidity and rigidity of the approaching SW trough will come into play towards the end of the week(Thurs NT-FRI morn). Depending on the strength of the H as it moves into the Chesapeak Ba, and the rate of movement of the maritime L, CF could staul until Thurs NT, possibility for dissipation. Hold POPS for THURS to scattered in late am/aftn.

Webb

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