08 October 2007

Great Falls Forecast Discussion

Large upper level trough currently digging into the Northwest United States. Strong southerly flow out ahead of approaching surface front in combination with high pressure over the central Rocky Mountains will lead to stiff southwest to south winds over the Rocky Mountain Front of northcentral Montana. Winds should continue through the forecast period and provide downslope heating and drying in the Great Falls area. Some high clouds will be in the area through the period due to the approaching trough but not enough to strongly effect the weather which will be dominated by the surface winds. Compressional heating from downslope off of the Belt Mountains will keep lows on Tuesday in the mid 40's and breezy conditions will persist into the afternoon, providing enough heating to take the temperature up into the 70's. Winds could gust as high as 30kt and a steady wind should stay between 15-20kt. No precipitation expected with strong drying at the surface and not much moisture available in the mid levels either. Some warm air advection will also keep the mid levels warm and keep the atmosphere stable.

Dann Cianca

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