KMEM Day 2 Discussion

With high pressure expected to dominate throughout the forecast period, the models are in excellent agreement with regard to high and low temperature, wind, and precipitation. The precip forecast will be easy, even for novice forecasters. All you have to do is put a 0 in the space for precip when entering your forecast. The GFS and NAM both agree with a high in the low 70s and a low in the mid-40s. Both models also agree on the maximum wind for the period to occur during the afternoon with a peak of about 12 knots. With high pressure to the south and warmer air to the west of Memphis, some WAA will be present throughout the period allowing the high to reach the lower, to possibly mid-70s. The GFS and NAM currently forecast highs of 71 and 70 respectively, but I wouldn't be surprised if these were a little low. Drier air also has the ability to heat up better than moist air. The WAA present will also be the reason that the overnight low for day 3 will likely be much higher than the low for day 2.

Kennedy