13 February 2008

KCEC Day 4 Discussion

First, skies are forecast to be clear by all models throughout the forecast period. Air will be fairly dry with the wind blowing towards the Pacific, and look for this drier air to allow the overnight low temperature to drop into the neighborhood of the upper 30s. At this point, both the NAM and the GFS suggest the low to be in the upper 30s. Winds will be likely be calm during this period, and with the clear skies and dry air, it is certainly possible for the high to reach the upper 50s. At this point, the GFS suggest a high near 54, and the NAM suggests a high near 59. 59 might be a tad high, but given the likely dry air and calm winds resulting in plenty of sunshine during the day, this is certainly possible. If I had to make my day four forecast right now, I would probably put my high at about 57 or 58, but we'll see what the models spit out tomorrow and see if there are any major changes. Clear skies will also result in no precipitation for the forecast period, so don't be like that one dude I saw today who put in 20 inches of rain for his forecast. That's just stupid.

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